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Lin-Manuel Miranda and company in Hamilton. |
I'm rather disappointed I didn't get to use one of the funny titles I have stocked up for this year's Tony predictions, but I think we all know where the majority of the awards (for musicals anyway) are going this year. My only hope for consistent inaccuracy is to get the play predictions entirely wrong. Let's see how out of touch we are! (or how far my anti-O'Neill bias tends). Previous season predictions
here.
It was a strange season for Broadway this year, or at least for new musicals. I began the season thinking we'd have all these massive risk-taking productions, knowing they can't actually contend for the big awards, but wanting to make a splash anyway. And in certain ways, we did get that - we certainly saw a vastly more diverse season this year than, say, Hollywood. But with the premature closings of a number of shows (some deserved, some not), from
Amazing Grace and
Allegiance in the first half of the season, to the ill-advised Forrest Whitaker
Hughie mid-season, and the recently-closed (or imminently closing)
Disaster!,
Tuck Everlasting and
American Psycho, there's a sense that Broadway audiences are less willing to settle for Not!Hamilton - or at least that producers are more willing to cut their losses and get out while the getting's good; usually shows will wait til the awards season is over to announce their closing, but with little to no Tony love for
Tuck or
Psycho, perhaps I shouldn't be as surprised as I was.
Let's go see how badly I can predict play awards, shall we?